Aaron Rodgers Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Interceptions

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+224/-300).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
The Washington Commanders have intercepted 0.33 balls per game this year, grading out as the 7th-worst defense in football by this metric
The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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