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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-296).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +228 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +225.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The New England Patriots have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the NFL), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a massive 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 58.4 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.

Aaron Rodgers has totaled a lowly 0.32 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.

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