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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Completions
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 63.7% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

In this contest, Aaron Rodgers is anticipated by the projection model to wind up with the 7th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.5.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in football versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year (72.9% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.7 plays per game.

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