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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Completions
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 67.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 39.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.
  • Aaron Rodgers has been among the best precision passers in the league this year with a stellar 67.9% Completion%, grading out in the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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