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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

Aaron Rodgers Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties profile as the 29th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 5th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (36.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.

The 10th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).

This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by the projection model to earn the 6th-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 1.7.

Making up a lowly 4.2% of his team's rush attempts this year (14th percentile among QBs), Aaron Rodgers's immobility makes him no threat with his legs.

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