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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is implied by the Vikings being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

In this week's contest, Aaron Jones is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs with 14.7 rush attempts.

Aaron Jones has garnered 60.1% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Aaron Jones's 75.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a material growth in his running prowess over last season's 61.0 figure.

Aaron Jones's ground efficiency (5.06 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (82nd percentile among running backs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to run on 40.0% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.1 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Indianapolis's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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