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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 28.14 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

In this game, Aaron Jones is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 88th percentile among running backs with 15.4 rush attempts.

Aaron Jones has been much more involved in his team's rushing attack this year (62.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (50.2%).

Aaron Jones has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (88.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).

Aaron Jones's rushing efficiency has gotten a boost this season, compiling 5.52 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 4.76 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 41.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

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