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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 132.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The projections expect Aaron Jones to accumulate 17.1 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • Aaron Jones has been given 59.6% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Aaron Jones has picked up 70.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (92nd percentile).
  • This year, the formidable Los Angeles Rams run defense has allowed a feeble 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 24th-best rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 40.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends rank as the best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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