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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-112/-117).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Vikings to call the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In this contest, Aaron Jones is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 87th percentile among RBs with 16.2 rush attempts.

Aaron Jones has been given 60.1% of his team's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Aaron Jones has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (73.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).

Aaron Jones's ground effectiveness (4.70 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (75th percentile among RBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 5th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 8th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (only 55.9 per game on average).

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

This year, the anemic Packers run defense has been torched for a staggering 4.22 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing squads: the 28th-highest rate in football.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Green Bay's DE corps has been great this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the league.

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