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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6 points.
  • The leading projections forecast Aaron Jones to notch 16.2 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
  • Aaron Jones has received 57.8% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • Aaron Jones has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (76.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).
  • Aaron Jones's ground effectiveness (4.82 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (76th percentile among running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 8th-least run-heavy team in the league (37.7% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (just 55.4 per game on average).
  • The Titans defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 4.39 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • The Titans defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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