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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.15 seconds per play.

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

In this contest, Aaron Jones is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 83rd percentile among running backs with 14.0 rush attempts.

Aaron Jones has received 57.1% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Aaron Jones has averaged 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (88th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Giants defensive tackles profile as the best collection of DTs in football last year in regard to defending the run.

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