Aaron Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Aaron Jones

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Jones

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all running backs, Aaron Jones ranks in the 88th percentile for carries since the start of last season, comprising 49.1% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Packers profiles as the 6th-best in football last year.
With an excellent rate of 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (91st percentile), Aaron Jones stands as one of the leading pure runners in football since the start of last season.
With a fantastic total of 5.07 adjusted yards per carry (90th percentile), Aaron Jones stands among the leading pure rushers in football since the start of last season.
With a terrific tally of 3.14 yards after contact (78th percentile), Aaron Jones ranks as one of the strongest RBs in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 10th-least run-oriented offense in football (37.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
The leading projections forecast the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.2 plays per game.

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