Aaron Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Aaron Jones

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Jones

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
Aaron Jones has earned 46.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at blocking for the run game.
Aaron Jones has rushed for a lot more yards per game (65.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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