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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Aaron Jones has garnered 48.9% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Aaron Jones has picked up 50.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL among running backs (82nd percentile).

Aaron Jones's running effectiveness (4.83 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (84th percentile among running backs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 4th-least run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 34.8% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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