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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to notch 12.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
  • Aaron Jones has earned 50.5% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among running backs.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in run blocking.
  • Aaron Jones has rushed for many more yards per game (63.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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