Aaron Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Aaron Jones

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Jones

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to notch 12.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
Aaron Jones has earned 50.5% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among running backs.
The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in run blocking.
Aaron Jones has rushed for many more yards per game (63.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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