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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+187/-275).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +195 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +187.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Aaron Jones has been given 45.2% of his team's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
  • The Green Bay Packers have utilized some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-least run-centric offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 39.3% red zone run rate.
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties grade out as the best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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