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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 132.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

This week, Aaron Jones is anticipated by the model to rank in the 100th percentile among RBs with 4.2 targets.

With a top-tier 11.7% Target Rate (91st percentile) this year, Aaron Jones has been as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.

With a stellar 3.0 adjusted catches per game (91st percentile) this year, Aaron Jones stands as one of the leading pass-game RBs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

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