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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-129/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 27.85 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 10th-fastest in football (in a neutral context) at the moment.

Aaron Jones has been used more as a potential target this season (49.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (37.6%).

In this game, Aaron Jones is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 78th percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.

Aaron Jones checks in as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a remarkable 2.8 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the stout Seahawks defense has surrendered a paltry 80.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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