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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

Aaron Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Aaron Jones's 50.5% Route% this season represents a substantial boost in his air attack volume over last season's 37.6% rate.

This week, Aaron Jones is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.9 targets.

The Minnesota Vikings O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.0 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.5 plays per game.

The Cardinals safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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