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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Packers, who are giant -7-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 64.5% of their plays: the highest frequency on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Aaron Jones to total 4.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Packers are anticipated by the projections to run only 63.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 56.8 per game on average).

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