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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-170/+127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -170.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to garner 6.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.

  • The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (74.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (74.1%).
  • The Minnesota Vikings linebackers project as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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