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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Aaron Jones to accrue 5.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
  • When talking about air yards, Aaron Jones ranks in the towering 91st percentile among RBs this year, averaging a massive 5.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.

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