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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 132.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

This week, Aaron Jones is anticipated by the model to rank in the 100th percentile among RBs with 4.2 targets.

With a top-tier 11.7% Target Rate (91st percentile) this year, Aaron Jones has been as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.

As it relates to air yards, Aaron Jones ranks in the lofty 87th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a monstrous 2.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Aaron Jones's 7.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a noteworthy reduction in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 9.0% rate.

More Aaron Jones Player Props

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