My Account Log Out
 
 
Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Aaron Jones's 50.5% Route% this season represents a substantial boost in his air attack volume over last season's 37.6% rate.
  • This week, Aaron Jones is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.9 targets.
  • Aaron Jones has posted a massive 4.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.0 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.5 plays per game.
  • The Cardinals safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™