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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • Aaron Jones comes in as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 22.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.
  • Aaron Jones's 12.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a remarkable growth in his effectiveness in space over last season's 7.4% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Packers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.
  • Aaron Jones's 37.8% Route% this year indicates a noteworthy diminishment in his passing game utilization over last year's 51.3% rate.
  • Aaron Jones has accumulated a feeble -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 6th percentile among RBs.

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