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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to earn 4.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

Aaron Jones has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 13.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Aaron Jones has been among the best RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 24.0 yards per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (84.8%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (84.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.

Aaron Jones has notched a meager -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 20th percentile among RBs.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has been quite strong when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.43 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

The Chicago Bears linebackers rank as the 10th-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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