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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to total 3.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among RBs.

Aaron Jones has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 13.8% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among RBs.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Aaron Jones's skills in generating extra yardage have improved this season, averaging 7.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 6.39 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Aaron Jones has accumulated a paltry -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among RBs.

Aaron Jones has accrued substantially fewer receiving yards per game (25.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).

Aaron Jones's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 5.87 yards-per-target compared to a 7.75 figure last season.

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