Aaron Jones Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Jones

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Jones

RB · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 12:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to total 3.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among RBs.
Aaron Jones has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 13.8% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among RBs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Aaron Jones's skills in generating extra yardage have improved this season, averaging 7.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 6.39 figure last season.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Aaron Jones has accumulated a paltry -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among RBs.
Aaron Jones has accrued substantially fewer receiving yards per game (25.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).
Aaron Jones's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 5.87 yards-per-target compared to a 7.75 figure last season.

More Aaron Jones Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow