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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to accumulate 4.8 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

Aaron Jones has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 13.8% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Aaron Jones has been among the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 23.0 yards per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Aaron Jones has totaled a measly -6.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 4th percentile among running backs.

Aaron Jones's receiving efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating just 5.12 yards-per-target compared to a 6.77 figure last season.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 28.0) versus RBs this year.

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