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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Aaron Jones is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.6 carries.

Out of all running backs, Aaron Jones grades out in the 86th percentile for carries this year, comprising 55.5% of the workload in his team's running game.

The Rams linebackers profile as the worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-least run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 36.6% run rate.

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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