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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 28.14 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

In this game, Aaron Jones is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 88th percentile among running backs with 15.4 rush attempts.

Aaron Jones has been much more involved in his team's rushing attack this year (62.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (50.2%).

The Jets defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 41.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

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