My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Houston Texans

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Aaron Jones has earned 47.2% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to run on 37.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 56.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Houston's collection of safeties has been terrific since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

More Aaron Jones Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™