My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all RBs, Aaron Jones grades out in the 83rd percentile for rush attempts since the start of last season, comprising 50.6% of the workload in his offense's running game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.5% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the projection model to call just 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The San Francisco 49ers defensive ends rank as the worst DE corps in the league last year in regard to defending the run.

More Aaron Jones Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™