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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 132.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The projections expect Aaron Jones to accumulate 17.1 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

Aaron Jones has been given 59.6% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 40.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends rank as the best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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