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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Aaron Jones is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile among RBs with 15.7 rush attempts.

Aaron Jones has been given 60.1% of his team's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 9th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Green Bay's DE corps has been great this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the league.

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