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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6 points.

The leading projections forecast Aaron Jones to notch 16.2 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.

Aaron Jones has received 57.8% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 8th-least run-heavy team in the league (37.7% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

The Titans defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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