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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+139/-194).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Jones has garnered 48.4% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.

The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year at blocking for rushers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 32.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Buffalo Bills defensive ends profile as the 6th-best group of DEs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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