Aaron Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Aaron Jones

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Jones

RB · Green Bay Packers

Carries

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to notch 14.0 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
Aaron Jones has been given 51.5% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among RBs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in run blocking.
The Detroit Lions safeties grade out as the 28th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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