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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

Aaron Jones has been given 50.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.

The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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