| |
Zach Wilson Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 12
Houston Texans vs New York Jets
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 230.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 234.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
The New York Jets have had the #6-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.This offense passes the ball 63.4% of the time in a neutral context (#10 in the NFL).This offenses projects to pass 62.5% of the time in this contest (#7 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.The Houston Texans enter this game with the #26-best pass defense this season, allowing 273 yards per game through the air.Houston's defense has been #29-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 8.60 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.The Houston Texans have had the #31-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Houston Texans have had the #24-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.Texans linebackers have ranked #29 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
Wilson has passed for 186 yards per game this year, #30-best in the league.He's been the #33-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 56.7% clip.Efficiency-wise, Wilson has been #31 in the NFL this season, averaging 6.16 yards per target.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The New York Jets have run play-action on 21.6% of their passes this year, #28-most in the NFL.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and New York have faced the #25-most stacked boxes in the league this year (#11.4%).Texans defensive ends have ranked #6 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.Texans defensive tackles have ranked #10 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.Houston's defensive front has pressured opposing quarterbacks 2 seconds after the snap, on average, ranking #10-quickest in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
New York has played in the #20-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which artificially saps a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.The Jets project to run 63.0 plays in this contest, the #12-most of the week.Zach Wilson's offensive line has been #20 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.The Jets offensive line has given Zach Wilson 2.48 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers.The Texans have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 71.7% of their targets, ranking #19 in the NFL.The Houston Texans have had the #20-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Houston Texans have stacked the box on 15.7% of their plays this season, #13-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 268.7 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 62.3% of the time.
The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $18.99. It's return on investment would yeild 17%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
