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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals vs San Francisco 49ers
Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -115.
  • Higgins has been on the field for 69.2% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #70 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 87.3% of Cincinnati's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #85 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 25.9% -- #92 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • The 49ers have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 68.8% of their targets this season, (#8-most in the league).
  • San Francisco 49ers cornerbacks rank as the #25 unit in pass coverage.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Cincinnati has faced the #8-most stacked boxes in the league this year (16.5%).

  • CONS:
  • Cincinnati has played in the #20-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • San Francisco 49ers safeties rank as the #10 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have had the #29-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Higgins's offensive line has been #23 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Cincinnati Bengals have run play-action on 23.8% of their passes this year, #23-most in the NFL.

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Higgins is projected for -0.1% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #61 percentile among wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 8.71 yards per target this season, ranking in the #61 percentile.
  • Higgins has been in the #49 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 64.2% completion rate.
  • San Francisco's defense has allowed 155 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#20-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #15-most yards per target (8.48) against the 49ers this season.
  • The Bengals project to run 61.6 plays in this contest, the #19-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 60.3% of the time in a neutral context (#19 in the NFL).
  • This offenses projects to pass 59.6% of the time in this contest (#16 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Bengals offensive line has given the QB 2.42 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#12-most time in the league).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 70.8 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 53.8% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $0.63. It's return on investment would yeild 1%.

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