My Account Log Out
 
Teddy Bridgewater

Teddy Bridgewater Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 14

Denver Broncos vs Detroit Lions
 
 
 
Teddy Bridgewater Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 227.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 238.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 227.5 @ -115.
PROS:
  • He's been the #7-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 67.9% clip.
  • Denver has played in the #2-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which artificially saps a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • The Broncos offensive line has given Teddy Bridgewater 2.55 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers.
  • Detroit's defense has been #31-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 8.63 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.
  • The Detroit Lions have had the #27-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • The Detroit Lions have had the #30-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • The Detroit Lions have had the #26-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • Lions defensive ends have ranked #32 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.

  • CONS:
  • The Denver Broncos have had the #30-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Denver is a 12.5 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 53.3% of the time in this contest (#25 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

  • NEUTRAL:
  • Bridgewater has passed for 234 yards per game this year, #18-best in the league.
  • Efficiency-wise, Bridgewater has been #17 in the NFL this season, averaging 7.41 yards per target.
  • The Broncos project to run 61.2 plays in this contest, the #20-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 61.1% of the time in a neutral context (#15 in the NFL).
  • Teddy Bridgewater's offensive line has been #16 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Denver Broncos have run play-action on 25.3% of their passes this year, #22-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Denver have faced the #12-most stacked boxes in the league this year (#15.4%).
  • The Detroit Lions enter this game with the #18-best pass defense this season, allowing 256 yards per game through the air.
  • The Lions have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 69.5% of their targets, ranking #12 in the NFL.
  • Lions defensive tackles have ranked #20 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • Lions linebackers have ranked #18 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The Detroit Lions have stacked the box on 14.1% of their plays this season, #18-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.

  • PROJECTION:
    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 254.7 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 60.0% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $13.94. It's return on investment would yeild 12%.
     
     
     
    ABOUT WRITENOW™

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
     
     
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™