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Teddy Bridgewater

Teddy Bridgewater Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 14

Denver Broncos vs Detroit Lions
Teddy Bridgewater Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 227.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 238.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 227.5 @ -115.
  • He's been the #7-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 67.9% clip.
  • Denver has played in the #2-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which artificially saps a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • The Broncos offensive line has given Teddy Bridgewater 2.55 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers.
  • Detroit's defense has been #31-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 8.63 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.
  • The Detroit Lions have had the #27-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • The Detroit Lions have had the #30-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • The Detroit Lions have had the #26-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • Lions defensive ends have ranked #32 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.

  • CONS:
  • The Denver Broncos have had the #30-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Denver is a 12.5 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 53.3% of the time in this contest (#25 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

  • Bridgewater has passed for 234 yards per game this year, #18-best in the league.
  • Efficiency-wise, Bridgewater has been #17 in the NFL this season, averaging 7.41 yards per target.
  • The Broncos project to run 61.2 plays in this contest, the #20-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 61.1% of the time in a neutral context (#15 in the NFL).
  • Teddy Bridgewater's offensive line has been #16 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Denver Broncos have run play-action on 25.3% of their passes this year, #22-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Denver have faced the #12-most stacked boxes in the league this year (#15.4%).
  • The Detroit Lions enter this game with the #18-best pass defense this season, allowing 256 yards per game through the air.
  • The Lions have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 69.5% of their targets, ranking #12 in the NFL.
  • Lions defensive tackles have ranked #20 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • Lions linebackers have ranked #18 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The Detroit Lions have stacked the box on 14.1% of their plays this season, #18-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 254.7 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 60.0% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $13.94. It's return on investment would yeild 12%.

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