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Rashod Bateman

Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-120/-110) with an implied projection of 32.2 yards.

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -120.

PROS:

His target share this season has been 18.5% -- #76 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the #28 unit in pass coverage.

Pittsburgh Steelers safeties rank as the #32 unit in pass coverage.

Bateman's offensive line has been #6 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Baltimore Ravens have run play-action on 36.3% of their passes this year, #2-most in the NFL.

CONS:

The Baltimore Ravens have had the #26-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.

The Ravens project to run 61.4 plays in this contest, the #25-most of the week.

Baltimore is a 4.0 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.

This offenses projects to pass 46.4% of the time in this contest (#28 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

NEUTRAL:

Bateman has been on the field for 61.5% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #61 percentile among wide receivers.

He has run a route on 70.4% of Baltimore's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #62 percentile among wide receivers.

Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Bateman is projected for 0.1% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #69 percentile among wide receivers.

In terms of efficiency, he has put up 8.27 yards per target this season, ranking in the #51 percentile.

Bateman has been in the #55 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 65.7% completion rate.

Pittsburgh's defense has allowed 159 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#17-most in football).

Opposing wideouts have put up the #12-most yards per target (8.68) against the Steelers this season.

The Steelers have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 67.7% of their targets this season, (#12-most in the league).

This offense passes the ball 60.2% of the time in a neutral context (#20 in the NFL).

The Ravens offensive line has given the QB 2.43 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#13-most time in the league).

Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Baltimore has faced the #12-most stacked boxes in the league this year (15.5%).

PROJECTION:

THE BLITZ sees him putting up 37.0 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 55.5% of the time.

The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $2.14. It's return on investment would yeild 2%.

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