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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-120/-110) with an implied projection of 42.3 yards.

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -120.
  • Valdes-Scantling has been on the field for 66.9% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #68 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #5-most yards per target (9.31) against the Bears this season.
  • Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the #30 unit in pass coverage.
  • This offense passes the ball 64.1% of the time in a neutral context (#9 in the NFL).

  • CONS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.52 yards per target this season, ranking in the #32 percentile.
  • Valdes-Scantling has been in the #10 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 51.9% completion rate.
  • The Green Bay Packers have had the #32-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Green Bay is a 12.0 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

  • He has run a route on 72.9% of Green Bay's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #64 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 14.5% -- #63 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Valdes-Scantling is projected for 1.0% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #71 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Chicago's defense has allowed 165 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#12-most in football).
  • The Bears have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 67.1% of their targets this season, (#15-most in the league).
  • Chicago Bears safeties rank as the #19 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Packers project to run 60.8 plays in this contest, the #22-most of the week.
  • This offenses projects to pass 57.7% of the time in this contest (#19 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Valdes-Scantling's offensive line has been #15 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • The Packers offensive line has given the QB 2.45 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#17-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Green Bay Packers have run play-action on 25.4% of their passes this year, #17-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Green Bay has faced the #15-most stacked boxes in the league this year (14.6%).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 38.4 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 47.1% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $1.15. It's return on investment would yeild 1%.

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