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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Rams
Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 267.5 (-115/-115).
  • Cousins has passed for 254 yards per game this year, #10-best in the league.
  • This game will be played in a dome, meaning zero wind and a higher chance to complete passes.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have had the #11-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Vikings project to run 66.1 plays in this contest, the #2-most of the week.
  • Minnesota is a 3.0 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 64.0% of the time in this contest (#7 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Vikings offensive line has given Kirk Cousins 2.39 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#5-best in football).
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Minnesota have faced the #3-most stacked boxes in the league this year (20.8%).

  • CONS:
  • Minnesota has played in 9 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#2-most in football), which artificially improves a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to worse performance in normal conditions.
  • Kirk Cousins's offensive line has been #28 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Minnesota Vikings have run play-action on 23.3% of their passes this year, #25-most in the NFL.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense ranks #7-best in football in Yards per Target at 7.28.
  • Los Angeles's cornerbacks grade out as the #2-best in pass coverage this year.
  • Rams defensive ends have ranked #2 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • Rams linebackers have ranked #10 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box on 4.9% of their plays this season, #32-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.

  • He's been the #22-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 64.9% clip.
  • Efficiency-wise, Cousins has been #23 in the NFL this season, averaging 7.09 yards per target.
  • This offense passes the ball 59.8% of the time in a neutral context (#19 in the NFL).
  • The Los Angeles Rams enter this game with the #16-best pass defense this season, allowing 250 yards per game through the air.
  • The Rams have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 71.2% of their targets, ranking #18-best in the NFL.
  • Los Angeles's safeties grade out as the #20-best in pass coverage this year.
  • Los Angeles's linebackers grade out as the #14-best in pass coverage this year.
  • Rams defensive tackles have ranked #14 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.

    THE BLITZ sees Cousins putting up 300.8 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 61.5% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $17.27. Its return on investment would yield +15%.

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