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Kenyan Drake

Kenyan Drake Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 13

Las Vegas Raiders vs Washington Football Team
Kenyan Drake Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120) with an implied projection of 19.0 yards.

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -120.
  • Drake has been the #54-leading rusher this season, tallying 23 yards per game on the ground.
  • Las Vegas has played in 9 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#1-most in football). Teams tend to pass the ball more in low-wind conditions, artificially deflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.
  • WFT linebackers have ranked #30 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.

  • CONS:
  • This offense runs the ball 35.0% of the time in a neutral context (#26 in the NFL), and they project to run 35.0% of the time in this contest.
  • This offenses projects to runs 35.3% of the time in this contest (#24 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Washington Football Team have ranked #6 against the run this year, holding opponents to 95 yards per game on the ground.
  • WFT defensive ends have ranked #3 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • WFT defensive tackles have ranked #10 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • WFT safeties have ranked #8 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Las Vegas Raiders have faced a stacked box 16.3% of the time this season -- #9-most in football.

  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line has ranked #21 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.
  • He has been on the field for 37.4% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #56 percentile among running backs.
  • He has received 23.7% of Las Vegas's carries this year -- #54 percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Drake is projected for 1.2% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have had the #21-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Raiders project to run 62.6 total plays in this contest, the #15-most of the week.
  • In terms of efficiency, Washington's defense has allowed 4.32 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#12-least in football).
  • The Washington Football Team have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 13.2% of the time this season, ranking as the #20 most in the league.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 22.9 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 54.8% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $5.00. It's return on investment would yeild 5%.

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