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Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 15
Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots
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Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 94.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 93.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 94.5 @ -115.
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PROS:
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Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Taylor is projected for 10.4% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
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CONS:
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This game will be played in a dome, meaning zero wind and a higher likelihood of the Colts passing the ball more than usual.The Colts project to run 59.9 total plays in this contest, the #25-most of the week.
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NEUTRAL:
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This offenses projects to runs 40.7% of the time in this contest (#15 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 102.2 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 54.2% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $1.59. It's return on investment would yeild 1%.
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