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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 15

Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots
 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 94.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 93.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 94.5 @ -115.
PROS:
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Taylor is projected for 10.4% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.

  • CONS:
  • This game will be played in a dome, meaning zero wind and a higher likelihood of the Colts passing the ball more than usual.
  • The Colts project to run 59.9 total plays in this contest, the #25-most of the week.

  • NEUTRAL:
  • This offenses projects to runs 40.7% of the time in this contest (#15 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

  • PROJECTION:
    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 102.2 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 54.2% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $1.59. It's return on investment would yeild 1%.
     
     
     
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