| |
Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 15
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
Crowder has been on the field for 71.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #74 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 81.3% of New York's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #76 percentile among wide receivers.His target share this season has been 17.2% -- #72 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Crowder is projected for 3.8% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #85 percentile among wide receivers.Crowder has been in the #78 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 72.0% completion rate.Miami's defense has allowed 184 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#3-most in football).The New York Jets have had the #4-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.New York is a 10.0 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.This offenses projects to pass 63.3% of the time in this contest (#9 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.25 yards per target this season, ranking in the #24 percentile.Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the #5 unit in pass coverage.The Jets project to run 61.9 plays in this contest, the #24-most of the week.The Jets offensive line has given the QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#24-most time in the league).Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The New York Jets have run play-action on 21.8% of their passes this year, #28-most in the NFL.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and New York has faced the #25-most stacked boxes in the league this year (10.6%).
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
Opposing wideouts have put up the #14-most yards per target (8.49) against the Dolphins this season.The Dolphins have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 65.7% of their targets this season, (#21-most in the league).Miami Dolphins cornerbacks rank as the #20 unit in pass coverage.This offense passes the ball 62.9% of the time in a neutral context (#12 in the NFL).Crowder's offensive line has been #19 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 54.0 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 61.6% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $17.46. It's return on investment would yeild 15%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
