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Jamison Crowder

Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles
Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-120/-110) with an implied projection of 40.3 yards.
  • Crowder has been on the field for 68.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #71 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 79.1% of New York's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #73 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 17.4% -- #73 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Crowder has been in the #82 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 74.8% completion rate.
  • The Eagles have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 68.3% of their targets this season, (#10-most in the league).
  • Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the #28 unit in pass coverage.
  • New York is a 5.0 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 61.7% of the time in this contest (#10 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

  • CONS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.05 yards per target this season, ranking in the #21 percentile.
  • Philadelphia's defense has allowed 133 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#30-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #23-most yards per target (7.86) against the Eagles this season.
  • Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the #1 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Jets offensive line has given the QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#24-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The New York Jets have run play-action on 21.8% of their passes this year, #28-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and New York has faced the #25-most stacked boxes in the league this year (10.6%).

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Crowder is projected for 0.1% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #66 percentile among wide receivers.
  • The New York Jets have had the #12-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Jets project to run 63.4 plays in this contest, the #12-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 62.0% of the time in a neutral context (#13 in the NFL).
  • Crowder's offensive line has been #22 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 41.7 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 52.0% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes the OVER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the OVER is -$5.53 and with a negative ROI of -5%.

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