| |
Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13
New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-120/-110) with an implied projection of 40.3 yards.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
Crowder has been on the field for 68.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #71 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 79.1% of New York's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #73 percentile among wide receivers.His target share this season has been 17.4% -- #73 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Crowder has been in the #82 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 74.8% completion rate.The Eagles have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 68.3% of their targets this season, (#10-most in the league).Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the #28 unit in pass coverage.New York is a 5.0 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.This offenses projects to pass 61.7% of the time in this contest (#10 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.05 yards per target this season, ranking in the #21 percentile.Philadelphia's defense has allowed 133 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#30-most in football).Opposing wideouts have put up the #23-most yards per target (7.86) against the Eagles this season.Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the #1 unit in pass coverage.The Jets offensive line has given the QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#24-most time in the league).Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The New York Jets have run play-action on 21.8% of their passes this year, #28-most in the NFL.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and New York has faced the #25-most stacked boxes in the league this year (10.6%).
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Crowder is projected for 0.1% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #66 percentile among wide receivers.The New York Jets have had the #12-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.The Jets project to run 63.4 plays in this contest, the #12-most of the week.This offense passes the ball 62.0% of the time in a neutral context (#13 in the NFL).Crowder's offensive line has been #22 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 41.7 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 52.0% of the time.
The BLITZ believes the OVER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the OVER is -$5.53 and with a negative ROI of -5%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
