| |
James Washington Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 12
Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
James Washington Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Washington is projected for 3.0% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #87 percentile among wide receivers.Pittsburgh has played in the #3-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.The Bengals have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 70.5% of their targets this season, (#5-most in the league).Pittsburgh is a 3.5 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.This offenses projects to pass 62.0% of the time in this contest (#9 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.Washington's offensive line has been #6 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.The Steelers offensive line has given the QB 2.38 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#4-most time in the league).
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
The Steelers project to run 61.5 plays in this contest, the #26-most of the week.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run play-action on 19.4% of their passes this year, #31-most in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
Washington has been on the field for 54.6% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #56 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 60.4% of Pittsburgh's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #53 percentile among wide receivers.His target share this season has been 7.4% -- #42 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Cincinnati's defense has allowed 160 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#15-most in football).Opposing wideouts have put up the #15-most yards per target (8.52) against the Bengals this season.Cincinnati Bengals cornerbacks rank as the #15 unit in pass coverage.Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the #14 unit in pass coverage.The Pittsburgh Steelers have had the #15-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.This offense passes the ball 62.1% of the time in a neutral context (#13 in the NFL).Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Pittsburgh has faced the #13-most stacked boxes in the league this year (15.4%).
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 24.7 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 47.9% of the time.
The BLITZ believes the UNDER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the UNDER is -$3.03 and with a negative ROI of -3%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
