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DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 15
Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Football Team
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DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-120/-115) with an implied projection of 49.9 yards.
The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -115.
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PROS:
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The Eagles project to run 64.6 plays in this contest, the #2-most of the week.This offenses projects to pass 48.8% of the time in this contest (#4 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
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CONS:
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Philadelphia is a 10.0 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
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NEUTRAL:
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Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Smith is projected for -0.3% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #55 percentile among wide receivers.
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 54.1 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 53.8% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes the OVER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the OVER is -$1.53 and with a negative ROI of -1%.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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