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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Football Team
 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-120/-115) with an implied projection of 49.9 yards.

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -115.
PROS:
  • The Eagles project to run 64.6 plays in this contest, the #2-most of the week.
  • This offenses projects to pass 48.8% of the time in this contest (#4 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

  • CONS:
  • Philadelphia is a 10.0 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

  • NEUTRAL:
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Smith is projected for -0.3% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #55 percentile among wide receivers.

  • PROJECTION:
    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 54.1 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 53.8% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes the OVER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the OVER is -$1.53 and with a negative ROI of -1%.
     
     
     
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